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Michaelrobins938/README.md

Michael Forsythe Robinson

AI Systems Architect & Marketing Science Engineer

I build production-grade AI systems that generate measurable revenue and withstand

GitHub Stats

epistemic scrutiny. Not prototypes. Not correlation theater. Real causal inference
βš™οΈ System Architecture Exampleb>summary>
graph LR
  A[Event Stream<br/>Kafka] --> B[Feature Store<br/>Delta Lake]
  B --> C[Attribution Engine<br/>Markov + Shapley]
  C --> D[Bayesian UQ<br/>Confidence Bounds]
  D --> E[API Layer<br/><100ms p99]
  E --> F[Client Dashboard<br/>Real-time Insights]

  style A fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
  style C fill:#bbf,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
  style D fill:#bfb,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
  style E fill:#fbb,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
Loading

Key Components:

  • Kafka: Ingests 10K+ events/sec from web, mobile, server-side
    • Delta Lake: Versioned feature store with time-travel for reproducibility
      • Attribution Engine: First-principles causal framework (not weighted correlation)
        • Bayesian UQ: Quantifies model uncertainty, prevents overconfident predictions
          • API Layer: Sub-100ms latency for real-time decisioning
infrastructure at scale.
πŸ“Š Quick Statsb>summary>
  • 🎯 5+ years building attribution & ML systems for Fortune 1000 and high-growth startups
    • πŸ“ˆ 214K+ qualified leads generated with 99.6% accuracy for geospatial AI systems
      • ⚑ <100ms real-time identity resolution at streaming scale (78% accuracy, GDPR/CCPA compliant)
        • πŸ’° 30% ROI improvement through treatment effect heterogeneity in behavioral segmentation

          • πŸ”„ 70% contact rate (up from 30%) via attribution-informed outreach optimization

🎯 What I Ship

Attribution Science & Causal Inference

Most "attribution" is just weighted correlation with extra steps. I build systems grounded in first-principles causal frameworks:

  • Markov chain state modeling for temporal causality (not just last-touch heuristics)
    • Shapley value decomposition for fair marginal contribution (game-theoretic fairness)
      • Bayesian uncertainty quantification to bound epistemic vs. aleatoric error
        • Real-time probabilistic identity resolution for streaming platforms (Kafka + Ray)
        • Why this matters: Resolves the fundamental gap between "correlation that shipped" and "causation that scales."
        • Production ML Infrastructure

        • End-to-end data engineering for AI systems that don't explode in production:
          • Event streaming pipelines: Apache Kafka, Delta Lake, CDC (change data capture)
            • Distributed compute: Ray, Dask, orchestration with Airflow/Prefect
              • Feature stores & versioning: MLflow, DVC for reproducible experiments
                • Observability: Prometheus, Grafana, custom drift detection (Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests)
                • Recent case: Live event attribution engine for WWE Raw on Netflixβ€”second-screen correlation with <2s latency during live broadcasts.
                • Marketing Science & Growth Systems

                • Behavioral profiling, audience segmentation, and revenue optimization:
                  • Psychographic priors for context-aware attribution (not just demographics)
                    • Treatment effect heterogeneity to identify high-value segments (CATE estimation)
                    • Multi-armed bandit optimization for dynamic creative allocation
                    • LLM-augmented research: Automated product discovery (2.6 sale-ready products/day, zero manual work)

                    • πŸ† Case Studies

                    • | System | Problem | Solution | Outcome |
                    • |--------|---------|----------|---------|
                    • | Geospatial Lead Gen Engine | Insurance carrier needed qualified leads in underserved zip codes | ML classification on demographic + property data; automated outreach sequencing | 214,384 qualified leads at 99.6% accuracy |
                    • | Contact Rate Optimizer | SaaS company had 30% connect rate, burning sales budget | Attribution-informed timing + messaging personalization via behavioral clustering | 30% β†’ 70% contact rate improvement |
                    • | Product Research Automation | E-commerce brand spent 8 hrs/day on manual product research | LLM-powered competitive analysis + trend detection; automated scoring | 2.6 products/day flagged as sale-ready, 100% automation |
                    • | Streaming Identity Resolution | Ad platform needed real-time user matching across devices (GDPR-compliant) | Probabilistic graph matching with Bayesian priors; <100ms p99 latency | 78% accuracy at scale, fully GDPR/CCPA compliant |

                    • πŸ› οΈ Core Stack

                    • Languages & Frameworks
                    • Python
                    • TypeScript
                    • SQL
                    • Next.js
                    • Data & ML Infrastructure
                    • Apache Kafka
                    • PostgreSQL
                    • Delta Lake
                    • Ray
                    • Specialized
                    • Bayesian Statistics Β· Causal Inference (DoWhy, EconML) Β· LLMs (Claude, GPT-4) Β· Make.com Β· Shapley Values Β· Markov Chains

                    • πŸ“‚ Selected Projects

                    • πŸ‘‡ Pinned repositories below showcase production-grade systems:
                    • first-principles-attribution: Causal framework resolving correlation vs. causation with Markov/Shapley/Bayesian UQ
                    • probabilistic-identity-resolution: Real-time streaming identity graph for multi-device attribution
                    • behavioral-profiling-attribution: Context-aware attribution with psychographic priors (30% ROI lift)
                    • live-event-attribution-wwe-raw: Second-screen correlation engine for sports advertising
                    • portfolio-hub: Next.js command center showcasing 10+ production attribution systems

                    • πŸ”¨ Currently Building

                    • Multi-touch attribution whitepaper (v2.0): Formalizing the epistemic gap in correlation-based attribution models
                    • Streaming feature store: Real-time feature computation for sub-100ms inference pipelines
                    • Open-source attribution library: First-principles toolkit for marketing science teams

                    • πŸ“« Let's Connect

                    • Open to:
                    • βœ… Consulting engagements (attribution systems, ML infrastructure, data science strategy)
                    • βœ… Speaking & workshops (marketing science, causal inference, production ML)
                    • βœ… Advising high-growth startups on data/AI architecture
                    • Reach me:
                    • πŸ”— LinkedIn Β· Portfolio Β· Email
                    • πŸ“… Book a 30-min intro call (if interested in consulting)

                    • πŸ’‘ Pro tip: If you're building attribution systems, check out my first-principles framework β€” it's the only open-source implementation of Markov+Shapley+Bayesian UQ I've seen that doesn't collapse into weighted last-touch under pressure.

πŸ“Š GitHub Activity

GitHub Streak

Top Languages


πŸ… Achievements & Recognition

  • πŸŽ“ Make Foundation Certified β€” Advanced automation & integration specialist
    • πŸ“š Open-source contributor β€” First-principles attribution framework (Markov+Shapley+Bayesian UQ)
      • 🏒 Fortune 1000 experience β€” Built secure systems for $5.4B market cap finance department

        • πŸš€ 0β†’1 builder β€” Scaled online community from 0 to 1,200 active members in 4 months

        πŸ’¬ "The only way to do great work is to love what you do." β€” Steve Jobs

        Let's build something remarkable together.

        LinkedIn Email Portfolio

        Profile Views

Pinned Loading

  1. pep-talk pep-talk Public

    You know if this is for you or not. You got this. You look great by the way.

    HTML

  2. portfolio-hub portfolio-hub Public

    Command center portfolio showcasing 10+ production-grade attribution and data science projects with Next.js tactical UI

    TypeScript

  3. first-principles-attribution first-principles-attribution Public

    First-principles attribution framework combining Markov chains (causality), Shapley values (fairness), and Bayesian UQ. Resolves epistemic gap between correlation and causation. Whitepaper v2.0.0 (…

    TypeScript

  4. probabilistic-identity-resolution probabilistic-identity-resolution Public

    Real-time probabilistic identity resolution engine for streaming platforms. Resolves multi-user attribution with 78% accuracy at <100ms latency. GDPR/CCPA compliant.

    Shell

  5. behavioral-profiling-attribution-psychographic-priors behavioral-profiling-attribution-psychographic-priors Public

    Context-aware attribution with behavioral segmentation revealing 30% ROI improvement through treatment effect heterogeneity

    TypeScript

  6. live-event-attribution-wwe-raw live-event-attribution-wwe-raw Public

    Real-time attribution engine for live sports advertising with time-decay models and second-screen correlation - Netflix WWE Raw use case

    TypeScript